The Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy is heating up as India and England prepare for the crucial 4th Test match at Old Trafford, Manchester. With England leading the five-match series 2-1, this encounter becomes a must-win for the Shubman Gill-led Indian side. After a heartbreaking 22-run loss at Lord’s in the third Test, India will look to bounce back with a strong showing in Manchester and level the series before the decider at The Oval.
In this blog by Cricbet99, we’ll break down the latest win probability, key playing XI changes, injury concerns, pitch and weather conditions, and live match predictions to help fans understand which side has the edge going into this Test.
Series Recap: How Things Stand
The five-match Test series has swung like a pendulum.
- England won the 1st Test in Leeds by five wickets.
- India stormed back in the 2nd Test at Edgbaston, winning by a massive 336 runs.
- The 3rd Test at Lord’s was a tense thriller, where England edged out India by 22 runs, regaining the lead in the series.
Now at 2-1, England have the advantage, but with two more Tests to play, India still has a chance to make history.
Squad Changes & Injury Impact: India Hit Hard
Team India is dealing with multiple setbacks. Young all-rounder Nitish Kumar Reddy and left-arm pacer Arshdeep Singh have been ruled out due to injuries. Akash Deep, another pace option, is also set to miss the 4th Test with a groin issue. These forced changes could affect the team balance and depth in bowling.
Meanwhile, England have made just one change—Liam Dawson replaces Shoaib Bashir, who’s out with a finger injury. The rest of the squad remains stable and confident after the recent win.
India’s Predicted XI:
Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, Sai Sudharsan, Shubman Gill (c), Rishabh Pant (vc & wk), Ravindra Jadeja, Washington Sundar, Kuldeep Yadav or Shardul Thakur, Mohammed Siraj, Jasprit Bumrah, Anshul Kamboj.
England’s Predicted XI:
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (c), Jamie Smith (wk), Liam Dawson, Chris Woakes, Brydon Carse, Jofra Archer.
Pitch & Weather Report: What Conditions Say
Weather:
According to the latest forecasts, rain is expected throughout the five days in Manchester. The temperature is expected to stay between 14°C and 23°C. Overcast skies could help the seamers swing the ball.
Pitch:
Old Trafford has traditionally offered bounce and pace, but in recent years, the pitch has slowed down slightly. That said, if the weather stays damp, pacers might find extra movement—especially early on. Spin could come into play later in the game, especially on Days 4 and 5.
Win Probability Before the Match (Cricbet99 Estimation)
Based on player form, pitch behavior, team injuries, and weather forecasts, here is Cricbet99’s pre-match win probability for the 4th Test:
- England – 54%
- India – 38%
- Draw – 8%
England has the edge mainly due to squad consistency, home advantage, and India’s injury concerns. But with players like Bumrah and Jaiswal in form, India has enough firepower to upset the odds.
Key Battles to Watch
1. Gill vs. Jofra Archer
The Indian captain has looked solid but has struggled against express pace. Archer’s short-ball strategy could test him again in Manchester.
2. Pant vs. Woakes
Pant’s fearless approach is crucial in the middle order. Woakes, with his swing and line discipline, will aim to keep him quiet.
3. Joe Root vs. Bumrah
A classic duel. Root has been consistent, but Bumrah’s accuracy and aggression can turn games. If Bumrah gets Root early, India’s job becomes much easier.
Live Match Prediction: What to Expect
First Innings:
If England bat first under cloudy skies, India’s pacers could strike early. However, if India bat first and Jaiswal or Rahul give a good start, they could post a strong total around 300-350.
Second Innings:
The second innings could be tricky due to pitch deterioration and potential weather breaks. Spinners like Kuldeep Yadav or Jadeja could become vital.
Final Day:
Rain interruptions could make it hard to complete the full match. If enough overs are lost, a draw becomes more likely, especially if both teams lose 1-2 sessions due to rain.
X-Factor Players to Watch
- India: Jasprit Bumrah – With injuries to key pacers, he will lead the attack and likely play a match-defining role.
- England: Joe Root – A century here could take the series beyond India’s reach.
What This Test Means for the Series
A win for India will level the series at 2-2, setting up an epic decider at The Oval.
A win for England will mean they clinch the Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy with a match to spare, showcasing their Test dominance at home.
A draw keeps the series alive but adds pressure on India to go all-in for a win in the 5th Test.
This 4th Test is more than just a match—it’s a moment of reckoning for Team India. Can Shubman Gill and his team overcome the injury crisis and challenge England in their own backyard? Or will Ben Stokes lead his men to a memorable series win?
Keep an eye on the weather, early wickets, and how India’s bowling unit adapts to missing key players.
For live match updates, real-time win probability, and expert predictions, stay tuned with Cricbet99—your trusted partner in understanding cricket action.
FAQs – IND vs ENG 4th Test
Q1. When is the 4th Test match between India and England?
A: July 23–27, 2025 at Old Trafford, Manchester.
Q2. What time does the match start in India?
A: The match starts at 3:30 PM IST. Toss is at 3:00 PM IST.
Q3. Where can I watch the live streaming of IND vs ENG 4th Test?
A: Live streaming is available on the JioHotstar app and website.
Q4. Who are the likely match winners for India?
A: Jasprit Bumrah with the ball and Rishabh Pant with the bat could be game changers.
Q5. What are the weather conditions in Manchester for the Test?
A: Rain is forecasted throughout the five days with temperatures between 14°C and 23°C.
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